Thursday, July 8, 2010

Investing in a Competitive Economy




Without a doubt treasury bonds remain as the safest investment method in a tough economy. Saving in fixed deposits is also a safe and reliable investment method even if the interest rates remain low.
Investing in gold and other precious metals like platinum and silver are also a good option. Even though the price of these metals tend to fluctuate over time, the turn over is generally good. In spite of all the technology, all world currencies are dependent on the value of gold, making it a very reliable investment method.

Investing in penny stocks, stocks which cost less than $5 is also a great option. Unlike investments in the normal stock market, investing in penny stocks is more suitable for times of recession because it requires less capital. Having the ability to hire a broker also offers the less experienced and less knowledgeable novice investors a chance to enter the market. However, an investment in penny stocks must be done with great care, because of the many penny stock scams that have been uncovered in recent years.

Another method to make the best of these recession times is to invest in real estate. With the prices of houses, apartments and land, as well as of building materials and labor costs falling, these times are ideal for investments in this sector.

With the right investment strategies you can use these bad times as an asset. If you can think ahead and make the best of today, your investment is sure to boom once the world economy turns better in the near future.

Many fantastic investment options like investing in penny stocks, gold and real estate are available to future investors in spite of the tough economic conditions.

The Truth About Derivatives


What is a derivative? The term derivative is used to mean futures, options and commodities. It could also be said as financial investments by which the value is generated (or derived) from performance of another security (for example; stocks or bonds).

Let's say you heard an advertisement talking about the possibility of oil prices rising. Due to whatever events in the world that are happening, they have caused the oil prices to rise and will continue to do so, according to the news or advertisement. You are interested. So you call the number provided by the advertiser.

What now? You are convinced and think the idea of buying oil for the current price sounds profitable. You buy the futures from this company with a value of $20,000.

You should know that buying futures can be said to be similar to gambling. It has much high risks when you are investing in futures. Why is this so? The answer is futures work on a short-term basis. And we all know that short-term things carry a certain amount of risk. Price of oil can move up and down anytime within a week. This is why buying futures is compared to gambling your money at the poker table.

What about options? They are as risky as futures also. It involves short-term to work. However, there is one way in which you can make a huge profit by investing in options. That is of course, getting a spy (from the company itself) to expose to you the company's next major movement - be it investments, acquiring a new technology patent or entering the next phase. As good as it sounds, you can end up in prison if you are caught doing this.

The stock market is a very dangerous place. The same goes to bonds and mutual funds and commodities. As described earlier, options and futures are both related to the stock market in which "fast money" is involved. If you decide to go into stocks, then make sure you get an honest broker. There is simply no other way. Remember that for a dollar you make, someone else loses a dollar.

On a side note, futures and options are sometimes used by real world professional investors to make profits in a safe way. How do they do this? They use futures and options to hedge (or reduce their risks) their broad investment holdings.

In conclusion, the investment methods described above are all very risky. It is best that you don't invest into them, especially if you are new to derivatives.

HOME :: Investing Is it Back to the Basics When it Comes to Making Money?


I can't tell you how many times I have heard that the key to making money is "hard work" in the last six months. The new economy appears to have resulted in a 180 degree turn from the mindset of a little more than a year ago when it comes to investment decisions. The overall lack of stability across the board has really shaken the fundamentals of our investing philosophy.

As the credit markets are still very tightly guarded, and as a commercial banker friend of mine recently said, "we are really only loaning money to individuals that have enough money to cover the loan." Many folks are going back to depression era thinking of it is time to tighten up the belts and hit the pavement, the key to making a good living is to hit the streets with hard work.

Overall, this may not be a terribly bad thing. Investment strategies were getting pretty crazy, like hedged derivative swaps, which if you don't know what that is, that is okay because I just made it up; which isn't much of a stretch from what was going on with our Wall Street friends. In a nutshell, investment strategies were being created to take advantage of the latest phenomenon in the market, and you just had to trust your broker knew what he was doing. This is somewhat reminiscent of Enron, however they couldn't even explain what they were doing, but for a while there, they were printing money, or so it seemed, and all was right with the world.

Times have changed; investors now want to know what they are investing in, to the extent that CD's and treasury bonds are popular again with, even with their low interest rates.

Just a little food for thought, but historically speaking the most wealth is made coming out of recessions and market adjustments. This wealth, is absolutely not made by individuals who believe that it is time to hit the streets and work harder, nor are these individuals pulling out of the market and investing in CD's and treasury bonds.

The largest wealth is created in either emerging products/services or investing in significantly undervalued assets. There will always be a new greatest thing out on the market, however this is the more risky of the two substantial wealth building strategies, as there are countless failures for every new product success. There are businesses, like venture capital funds which take the Babe Ruth approach to investing, failing two thirds of the time, having a few base hits, but the occasional home run can make or break the company. Varying statistics show that these venture capital funds only work with less than 1% of the potential opportunities that cross their desk, so it is obvious that this is a full time, specialized endeavor best left to the professionals with DEEP pockets.

On the other hand, investing in undervalued assets, does not require you to be willing fail more than you succeed, it simply requires a little restraint and a brain. The restraint is required because the reason many fail with this type of strategy is because they jump on the bandwagon of the next best thing, or the get rich quick lure is simply too good to pass up. What is required here is a simplistic investing strategy centered on investments you understand.

For example, most investors and advisors preach diversification, don't put all your eggs in one basket, however if you take a look at the wealthiest investors on the planet, you will find their strategy is the exact opposite. Take Warren Buffet for example, his entire strategy revolves around investing in a handful of companies that he knows and understands for the long haul. On a daily, weekly, monthly and yearly basis the stock market can appear to be pretty volatile, but no matter how volatile it may appear stretch the results over a long enough time line and the trend will emerge. Warren always sees the long-term view of the market and is able to pick out strong companies that, for some reason or another, the market, in the short term, has significantly undervalued. Additionally, where most investors buy stock, see the stock begin to slide even further then attempt to sell in a panic, Warren will simply buy more, knowing that he is continuing to buy stock as it approaches the bottom of the temporarily undervalued company. Once it turns around, he gets to ride the wave back up, and will continue to hold on to the stock as its value increases over time.

Another strategy, and my personal favorite, is investing in undervalued real estate. Like any type of investment, investing in real estate is similar to steering and airplane. Between any two points along any journey, an airplane is off course the vast majority of the time. Winds are constantly changing and pushing the plane off course, with the pilot having to constantly make corrections, sometimes undershooting (winds stronger than anticipated), sometimes overshooting, (winds less than expected), the course thus having to correct the corrections. The real estate market is the same way. At any given time, the estimated value of a property can be either over valued or undervalued based on the current market conditions.

Like Mr. Buffet, the key to knowing where the current market estimates are vs. the more accurate long-term view of a properties value is simply to take a long view of the market stretching far enough back in time to see where the general trend line is and compare it to the current value. When the current market conditions place a properties value significantly under the long term trend line, then you have a true candidate for a potential undervalued property. The next step is to understand the actual market conditions themselves to determine whether the local economic environment is simply over reacting to economic conditions, or if there is an underlying problem. For example, in Florida, real estate prices spiked through the roof, the so called bubble popped sending real estate values plummeting. In this example the market over reacted on both sides, market prices were too high to begin with, but the subsequent collapse has sent prices back almost 20 years in some areas, which is also an overreaction and an opportunity for a long-view investor to capitalize on significantly undervalued real estate. The scarcity principle works here as there is simply only so much coastal/warm weather real estate in the United States, and values will not stay depressed forever.

On the flip side if you are in a market that is propped up by one or two major employers that either are faltering or considering leaving the area, then the problem is a local one and an investment in this area would be unwise.

In short, if all else remains equal and the only change in the real estate market is the real estate prices adjusting to the macro economy, then look for over reactions for investing purposes. If the local economy is faltering due to micro economic conditions, then steer clear.

One of the key bonuses to investing in real estate is the principle of leverage, meaning banks will lend on real estate but not stocks. But we will cover this in another article. Stay tuned and smart investing.

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